Potential Future Projects
Updated March 8, 2019
These projects could be considered in future years and are documented to allow for the topics and scope to continue to develop. Projects marked with an (*) are identified in year two of CERI’s research plan, which is subject to change.
Economic Impacts of Oil Sands Production in the Canadian and US Economies
As part of an annual update, a forecast of the production of oil sands bitumen and Synthetic Crude Oil will be conducted for 2019-2039. Also, to updating the production costs in oil sands and production forecast, economic impact analysis will be developed using CERI’s Input/Output model for Canadian and U.S. impacts. GHG emissions will also be forecast as will Canadian and US job impacts. This project will include a detailed assessment of well costs.
Economic Impacts of Canadian Conventional Oil and Gas Production in the Canadian and US Economies
As part of an annual update, a forecast of the production of conventional oil and gas production will be conducted for 2019-2039. This will include onshore and offshore activities as well as emerging oil and gas plays. Also, to updating the production costs and production forecast, economic impact analysis will be developed using CERI’s Input/Output model for Canadian and U.S. impacts. GHG emissions will also be forecast as will Canadian and US job impacts. This project will include a detailed assessment of well costs.
A Competitive Assessment of Innovation in the Production Processes of Shale Oil and Off-shore Deep Water Oil
Unconventional oil mainly comes from three sources; Shale Oil, Off-shore Deep Water sources and Oil Sands. Building on the study “Economic and Environmental Potentials and Efficiencies of Oil Sands Operations: Processes and Technologies,” this project will assess the economic and technical potential of innovation in shale and offshore crude production to determine the long-term competitiveness of each.
Waste to Energy Potential in Canada
This project will consider the waste of energy potential in Canada. Municipal solid waste and agriculture and forestry residue can be converted into liquid fuels and electricity. The economic and environmental impacts of these processes will be assessed.
Market Opportunities for Off-shore Oil and Gas in Canada*
Building on the studies “Economic and Environmental Potentials and Efficiencies of Oil Sands Operations: Processes and Technologies,” and the two Production Forecast research papers, this project will assess the market opportunities and technology innovation of offshore crude and natural gas production [Pacific, Arctic and Atlantic] to determine Canada’s potential long-term competitiveness. This project will provide the current perspective of those potential opportunities and identify the major challenges of each. It will also consider how other jurisdictions are overcoming those specific challenges to protect the environment alongside economic development.
The State of Tidal Power Opportunities in Canada
Tidal power can pay an important role in electricity generation. This project will assess the economic and environmental impacts of expanded tidal power use.
Assessment of Future Electricity Transmission system Needs in Canada
This project will assess economics, land use impacts, and the major electricity transmission system requirements to facilitate reliable and efficient operations of Canadian electric power systems. The study will construct a spatially explicit database of electric power system assets—both existing and planned—and electricity demand centres to assess future transmission needs within Canadian provinces. Using this database, the intents to provide insights into investment needs, social and environmental impacts as well as economic development potential.
Economic and Environmental Impacts of Electricity Generation from Nuclear Reactors
The use of nuclear power is controversial. From uranium mining to processing through use and storage, stakeholders express concern along the production pathway. This study will assess the new types of reactors as well as the processing cycle to consider the economic and environmental costs and benefits of this electricity generating option.
Economic Impacts of Competitive versus Regulated Electricity Markets
This project will compare the economic benefits and costs of competitive versus regulated generation and transmission markets for electricity. Canada has several models operating that can provide insight into the effectiveness of investment in these different markets. With an increase in investment needed to address transition issues to a cleaner electricity system, decision-makers will be interested in understanding how the different markets minimize cost and maximize benefits.
Interprovincial Trade in Electricity: Costs and Benefits*
This project will produce a market assessment of the costs and benefits of maximizing the use of interprovincial trade in electricity to optimize provincial investment. The study will note options for using an East-West grid to achieve the goals of affordability, reliability and decarbonization. It will also incorporate the observations from previous studies such as generation options pricing, the business case for electricity storage, and the opportunities for distributed generation to give a wholistic view of potential pathways. The review will also consider several different load growth scenarios that can be managed with these trade options.
Market Designs for Grids with High Amount of Variable Power Generations
Many Canadian provinces are setting renewable energy adaptation targets as a mechanism to achieve climate policy goals. Traditional electric power systems and markets are designed to operate with dispatchable generating units. Under such configurations, it is not clear whether the investors will see the certainty to invest in any generating source. This project will evaluate the structure and market designs Test of market designs to incentivize investments in an electric power system with high renewable penetration.
Lessons Learned in The Implementation of Renewable and Clean Power Options
This project will consider the programs in Canada, the US and Germany used to promote the investment in renewable and clean power options. An assessment of the economic investment relative to the least expensive alternative will be calculated to determine the implied carbon price of these policies.
Development of a Social Impact Assessment Model for Energy Supply and Demand Investments in Canada
This research will build on a socio-economic assessment tool developed by StatsCan for use with their input-output model. The project will update the model built by StatsCan and specify relationships between supply and demand investment concerning education, skills matching, cultural heritage, health, security, community development and affordability to name a few. The project will demonstrate the utility of the model by producing a social impact assessment of select energy infrastructure projects across the country.
*Study titles subject to change
Potential Future Projects