2018-2019 Research Plan
IMPACTS OF METHANE EMISSIONS REDUCTION FOR NATURAL GAS WELLHEAD TO BURNERTIP
The production process for natural gas results in venting and flaring. Natural gas processing also creates emissions, including those from consumption. This study will quantify the economic and environmental impacts of methane emissions reduction throughout the full supply chain of natural gas. The study will also include a consideration of hydrogen additions to the natural gas stream and methane release and capture from municipal solid waste facilities and other similar locations.
Anticipated Release: January 2019
NATURAL GAS LIQUIDS MARKET AND PRICING
This research will provide an update of NGLs production and assess foreign investment attraction of Western Canadian NGL’s for liquids exports to Asia, determine pricing mechanisms and in some cases the lack of transparency in pricing of NGLs. The project will also consider the availability and opportunity of NGLs in Atlantic Canada.
Anticipated Release: October 2018
ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT OF PASSENGER AND FREIGHT TRANSPORTATION ELECTRIFICATION IN SELECT CITIES
Fuel sales for passenger and freight vehicles are underpinned by wholesale and retail infrastructure. This investment plus commodity sales has a major impact on the Canadian economy. Without the sale of transportation fuels, these investment costs, commodity sales and tax revenues will have no value. However, changing the transportation system to reduce GHG emissions through new technology adaptation is being proposed as a major mechanism to achieve climate change mitigation goals. Some common examples are fuel switching and electrification of transportation. This study will develop several future transportation scenarios for Canada and provide economic and environmental analyses of them considering factors such as macroeconomic impacts, R&D needs, and infrastructure inertia.
The project will consider two or three jurisdictions including Ontario and Quebec.
Anticipated Release: January 2019
ECONOMIC AND ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS OF CANADA'S CLEAN FUEL STANDARD
This research will focus on the economic and environmental impacts of moving to a clean fuel standard in Canada. It will consider the impacts on the agriculture, oil and retail gasoline sub-sectors. The project will document the emissions reduction expected from such a standard and what the impact might be when the implementation of this standard is compared to electrification of the transportation sector.
Anticipated Release: March 2019
THE BUSINESS CASE FOR ELECTRICITY STORAGE SYSTEMS
Electric energy storage (EES) systems are in a rapid development phase. They are considered as critical to enabling transitioning to a cleaner a more versatile electric power system. The most commonly cited application of EES is arbitraging variable generating sources such as solar and wind matching them with the demand. However, there are numerous other applications of EES in traditional and modern grids, such as ramping, black start, demand response, voltage support etc. The perceived benefits of EES have led to new EES technology developments, demonstration projects, and research projects that quantify the benefits of EES systems. Despite these developments, implementations of EES systems have been limited to demonstration projects. A significant uptake of EES has not been observed. The high capital costs of EES systems have been identified as one main barrier to deployment. In addition to the capital costs, other non-technical barriers include some regulatory treatments of EES that may prevent them from tapping into multiple revenue streams and limitations of evaluation methods utilized to quantify benefits of EES.
This study will evaluate the full value of EES by applying a techno-economic modelling framework to electric power systems of Canadian provinces. The study intent to provide insights into market opportunities for different storage technologies, attributes of different technologies should carry to provide intended services, and contributions of EES to achieve energy, environmental, and economic goals set by different provinces.
Anticipated Release: April 2019
EMISSIONS REDUCTION OPTIONS AND ECONOMICS OF THE PETROCHEMICAL SECTOR
This project will consider the economic impacts of the petrochemical industry in Canada. It will also assess the emissions profiles of the various sub-sectors in Canada, the US and Qatar. In assessing the emissions profiles, CERI will examine government emissions policies and potential technologies to reduce emissions.
Anticiapted Release: March 2019
OIL SANDS COSTS, EMISSIONS, AND PRODUCTION FORECAST
As part of an annual update, a forecast of the production of oil sands bitumen and Synthetic Crude Oil will be conducted for 2019-2039. Also, to updating the production costs in oil sands and production forecast, economic impact analysis will be developed using CERI’s Input/Output model for Canadian and U.S. impacts. GHG emissions will also be forecast as will Canadian and US job impacts.
Anticipated Release: May 2019
CONVENTIONAL OIL AND GAS COSTS, EMISSIONS, AND PRODUCTION FORECAST
As part of an annual update, a forecast of the production of conventional oil and gas production will be conducted for 2019-2039. This will include onshore and offshore activities as well as emerging oil and gas plays. Also, to updating the production costs and production forecast, economic impact analysis will be developed using CERI’s Input/Output model for Canadian and U.S. impacts. GHG emissions will also be forecast as will Canadian and US job impacts.
Anticipated Release: May 2019
Maintenance of CERI Models and Programs - Ongoing maintenance and upgrading of CERI computer models and programs.
Maintenance of CERI Databases - Ongoing maintenance and upgrading of CERI databases.
Natural Gas Report - Research and updating of CERI’s quarterly Natural Gas report, the results of which are used in other ongoing projects.
Oil Report - Research and updating of CERI’s quarterly Oil report, the results of which are used in other ongoing projects.
Electricity Report - Research and updating of CERI’s quarterly Electricity report, the results of which are used in other ongoing projects.
Geopolitics of Energy - a monthly journal on geopolitical developments affecting global energy markets. It provides analysis, information, perspectives and fresh ideas on the political and economic factors affecting energy and their impact on national energy policies, the international environment and prices.
*Study titles and completion dates subject to change
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